JUNE 7, 2024 – The following comes from The European Valuer Journal:
The ‘Banking Package’ included a revision of the Capital
Requirements Regulation (CRR) which introduced a new
concept of ‘property value’ founded on ‘prudently conserv
ative valuation criteria’ that valuers will have to accommo
date alongside market value. Soon to be on the EU statute
books, it will come into effect on 01.01.2025 the same day
as EVS 2025. The Blue Book will contain a Guidance Note
with an interpretation of the new CRR concepts that the
European Valuation Standards Board issued – and that this
Journal liberally commented and publicised – shortly after
it became clear that the relevant provision had achieved
political consensus and wouldn’t change.
The other CRR game changer was Parliament and
Council’s ECB-inspired rejection of the Commission’s
attempt to extend banks’ freedom to use stand-alone,
valuer-free AVMs to revaluation and even to valuation
at origination. This extraordinary event will have conse
quences. Reiteration by the highest European authorities
of the central role of the qualified independent valuer
in ensuring the safety and stability of financial and real
estate markets will command a revision of the European
Banking Authority Guidelines on loan origination and moni
toring that confined mortgage valuers to a ‘desktop’ role so
poorly defined that banks could interpret it as little more
than an exercise in rubberstamping AVM ‘value proposals’
==================================
Mortgage Lending Value (a 120+ year old German valuation concept) was introduced in the USA about 15 years ago. It has not gained traction as Americans like Market Price and the bubbles it produces. MLV basically eliminates the ups and downs of property value and provides a stable number to loan against. The EU has now adopted the ‘prudently conservative valuation criteria.’ This is essentially MLV. But, other countries didn’t want to simply adopt a German concept. Maybe a decade or two from now this will become part of Basel and American lenders (and appraisers) will be forced to use this value instead of Market Value (Price).
It is also interesting that the EU basically killed the idea of AVMs.
Shalom,
The Mann
Tag Archives: European Union
INFLATION UPDATE
MAY 16, 2024 – The March report came in at 3.4%, at low end of my forecast of 3.4%-3.6% and below the consensus estimate of 3.5%. The 3-month annualized inflation rate is 6.7%. The 6-month annualized inflation rate is 3.8%. These figures are above the annualized rate (3.4%) and thus indicate the annual CPI should remain in this area or higher for awhile. The data is predicting a reading between 3.4% and 3.6% next month. I think this reasonable.
The Fed’s December statement that they expect to lower interest rates 3 times in 2024 looks to be inaccurate. The market is expecting one reduction – maybe in September or December.
It appears to me that although the Fed states their CPI target is 2% they are actually keeping it in 3.0-3.5% range on purpose.
Shalom,
The Mann
PS For those who read to the end, a tidbit of amazing information. By the Year 2100, the largest Age Group in the European Union will be 85 years and older. It won’t even be close. The second largest Age Group (55-59yo) will be about 60% the size. If you wonder why the world is going to robotics (Amazon has more robots than human employees now), it is because we simply won’t have enough human workers. The working age population worldwide is projected to decline beginning around 2050.
PRUDENTLY CONSERVATIVE VALUE IS THE NEXT MORTGAGE LENDING VALUE
MARCH 14, 2023 – The European Union appears to be headed towards adopting the ‘Prudently Conservative Valuation Criteria’ (PCVC) in accordance with Basel III. The concept is similar to Germany’s Mortgage Lending Value (MLV). However, the EU didn’t want to simply adopt a German concept.
For those interested in the concept, please read the article on Pages 6-10 of the latest issue of the European Valuer.
https://tegova.org/static/ea861b1ab7eae74037bb22655c7bc2fb/European%20Valuer%20(29)%20March%202023%20(desktop%20version).pdf
As expected, they make it clear that market price (what American appraisers estimate) and market value (I only know of one American appraiser that has estimated such in an assignment) are often different. What is new to me is they say value and market value are different. I will need to read up on that myself.
In one of my other posts I recommend that the FDIC deposit insurance be terminated as a way to make financial institutions safer. Another way would be to mandate the use of Mortgage Lending Value (MLV) instead of Market Value.
I hope you find the article interesting.
Shalom,
The Mann