EUROPEAN BANK REGULATORS GET IT
First the Germans (around the 1890’s), and now all of Europe, decided the crazy cycle of boom and bust was not ideal for its citizens. The following excerpts are from the 2025 European Valuation Standards (EVS). Maybe one day America will also decide to rid itself of the concept of Market Price (we do not have Market Value in USA real estate appraisals).
Shalom,
The Mann
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At least as far as the valuation of bank collateral is concerned, the European authorities are no longer satisfied with a stand-alone ‘Market Value’ that they correctly view as a ‘spot value’ at the date of valuation. They want to ‘secure the future’ by excluding expected price increases and internalising the potential for future lower market prices/values.
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The CRR lays down that in valuation according to ‘prudently conservative valuation criteria’, “the value excludes
expectations on price increases”. EVS 2025’s EVGN 2 addresses the issues arising from this in the contexts of:
• Valuation under the income approach.
• Using the direct capitalisation model.
• Valuations carried out by means of a DCF model.
• Treatment of rental increases.
• And the developer’s profit in the residual method of valuation.
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The second CRR requirement for appraisal according to ‘prudently conservative valuation criteria’ is that
“the value is adjusted to take into account the potential for the current Market Value to be significantly above
the value that would be sustainable over the life of the loan”.
▶ HERE EVGN 2 HIGHLIGHTS ISSUES OF:
• Assessing the sustainability of the value over the life of the loan.
• The impact of oversupply of a particular type of property on prices and value.
• The impact on future value of declining population of a given locality and
other negative factors changing the surroundings of the real estate.