Tag Archives: Trump

PREDICTION – 216-217 SEATS FOR THE DEMS – AND I WAS WRONG….

November 7, 2018 – For the most part, the election is over.  A few Senate seats and about a dozen House seats have yet to be called.

Lesson learned from all of this is that it is darn hard to predict individual House races.  Not really a surprise.  The lack of data makes it very difficult to forecast anything.  But, that is the same regardless of what you are trying to forecast.

In the end, I ended up about 50/50 on the 32 or so toss-up races.  Obviously, inadequate for a reasonably accurate forecast.  As of this writing, the Dems are at 223 seats.  They are likely to end up near 230.

Since I live to forecast, I will surely try this again next time.  But, not so sure I am any better than flipping a coin:)

Senate projections were a lot easier.  And that is expected, due to the huge amount of data available.  I think Senate races and the Presidential race are fairly easy to forecast – as long as you don’t rely on the inflated Left polls:)  They were horribly wrong again.

As of this writing, the GOP is at 52 seats and should end up with 53 for sure and might hit 54.  My forecast was on target.

I did not try to forecast the Governor races.  But, I think that is doable based on the large amount of data available.  I guess I will going forward.

Of course, I need to work on making money off these projections, eh:)

Onward we go….surprised (sarcasm intended) there weren’t protests in many cities about the House results:)  Obviously, Russia interfered in this election and helped divide our government.  No doubt my ‘Not My House of Representatives!’ and ‘Not My Speaker of the House!” shirts are going to sell well:)  And yes, you will see how civil the Right is versus the uncivil Left…..that is now an obvious fact.

Lastly, the scum reporter (used loosely) Acosta should be charged with assault for brushing that White House lady staffer’s arm away today.  Imagine if a Republican did that to a lady!

Remember, we do NOT have a free press any more.  They are not to be protected by the Constitution.  This is simply an arm of the Democratic Party.  They are the Enemy of the People because they no longer protect us by providing truthful information.  The 1st Amendment is there for a free press to provide the people with truthful information.  It is not there to protect a propaganda industry that publishes lies and biased opinions.  I simply want the facts (verified by several sources like they used to do) and I will take it from there.  This applies to ALL news companies – Left and Right.  Please bring back Walter Cronkite:)

I suppose in a week or so we will start to hear about 2020 campaigning….

October 31, 2018 – I have never tried to forecast the results for Senate or House of Representative elections.  Too many races to deal with.  But, with more and more data available, it is becoming easier to do.

Easy, that is, to forecast.  Still incredibly difficult to be accurate!

LAST UPDATE – 2PM EASTERN ELECTION DAY – My final count is a range of 211 to 222 for the Dems, with 216-217 being my ‘point’ forecast.  Just so darn close on a few contests. so I am cheating slightly and saying 216-217.  If I was asked which side of the range I would lean more towards, it would be the 211-212 area.  I do think we will not know who wins the House after tonight.  A few recounts might delay having an actual winner for a few weeks.

Unlike the ‘great forecasters’ out there (like 538 and whoever gets screen time) who are hedging with a wide range of 215 to 260, I think it can be narrowed to a 10 seat range.  These forecasters remind me of the old saying about what the market will do tomorrow – if it doesn’t go up, it might do down:)  Get some guts guys.  Speaking of which, we need some women to step up and run these poll firms and forecasts.

As an aside, I wonder if Repubs lose the House if there will be shirts out saying ‘Not My House of Representatives!’ :)  Heh heh.  I doubt it.  Unlike the Left, the Right can accept losing with class and style and civility.

Lastly, the site I voted at said they were up 500% in voting from the last mid-term election.  One thing can be said for Trump, he has got us Americans off our lazy asses and out to vote!!!  We have taken this right for granted for too long.  Good to see everyone having their say – peacefully, at the ballot box.

((Back to the original post…)) I might tweak these figures before Election Day, but for now my predictions are as follows:

The Democrats should end up with 209 to 220 seats.  With 218 being the winning number, the Dems do have a chance to take control of the House.  Maybe not as much chance as the Fake News Media wants you to believe – but, that is what the FNM has been doing for decades….inflating poll numbers for the Left so as to deflate the hopes of the Right.  Thankfully, the public now sees that and puts no faith in polls.

As everyone likes a single figure prediction, I will go with 215 seats for the Dems.  That leaves the House in GOP control.

Of course, if my prediction comes true, liberal heads will explode the day after Election and Russia will be to blame, et al:)  Maybe Rosie and Streisand and others will finally move to Canada, also!

If the Dems do get 218+, we simply place everything on hold until 2020.  Nothing will get done in DC.  Impeachment won’t work – just like it didn’t with Clinton.  Trump will continue to fill Federal judge seats as only the Senate is needed to approve those nominations.  Else, DC will be the normal mess we are used to.

Regardless of your stance, please do go out and vote.  That is the one thing we personally control.  Take advantage of it.

And remember, Spend Forward, Use Forward!

RANDOM QUESTIONS, THOUGHTS, OBSERVATIONS, ETC.

Latest Update – March 3, 2018 – I will continuously update this as I encounter the insanity going on in our country.

Obviously, Godspeed to the families and friends of the 17 people killed in Parkland, FL.  That one sort of hit home when I saw the ambulances from Margate and Coconut Creek.  I lived in the former and attended high school in the latter.  UPDATE – As these entitled punks at the high school in Parkland took a week off to be part of marches and protests and to tell the world they don’t respect people with titles or older than them and that previous generations owe them an apology and on and on, i have gotten over feeling one bit of sorrow for them.  They are typical crybaby snowflakes who don’t know how to handle a bad event and become stronger from it.  If I lived down there, I would be sure to protest their marches and events – I would likely be the only with the guts to do such.  But, poke at the greatest generation to walk this Earth (i.e. us Baby Boomers) and we will stomp you into oblivion!  I will do everything I can to prevent gun control….to convince others to join the NRA and buy guns, especially AKs and ARs…..and virtually anything that is the opposite of what The Stupid Generation snowflakes want.  Thankfully, all of that is easy to do as the 2nd Amendment isn’t ever going to be changed.

I find it amazing how my attitude has changed in just over 15 months.  I used to be anti-gun.  My entire life I was against guns and especially the larger ones that had nothing to do with hunting.  Just killing.

But, once I faced the reality that America has over 300 million guns outstanding and billions of rounds of ammunition, I decided to deal with this in the real world.  Not some fantasy world that America will do what Australia did 20+ years ago and give up its guns.  It won’t happen.

So, I became pro-gun.  Now, I just dare someone to mess with me or my family or friends.  I see the need to have an AR or AK handy.  They can take out a group of armed people coming after you.  And so can some nice Glocks which have no safeties:)

These massacres are not caused by guns.  Without guns, insane killers just turn to vehicles and explosives and so on.  First, eliminate all vehicles since drunk drivers kill more people than probably any other non-disease killer.  Yes, that makes as much since as eliminating guns.  Neither is logical.

Congress doesn’t need to do anything about guns.  Other than protect the 2nd Amendment.  As an aside, they need to do something about the 1st Amendment as (fake) press people do not have to obtain a license and pay for such like gun owners do.  Where is the logic in that discrepancy!  I guaranty that the Fake News Media has done way more damage to this country than guns have or will ever do!

It is laughable to hear all these crying anti-gun people saying we cannot live in a country that allows its children to be killed.  Well, then move to another country!  We won’t be stopping that in this country.  We value our freedom and privacy too much to stop the violence.  Heck, probably every so many days in Chicago 17 people are killed year around.  And that probably goes for it being 14 children that are killed (3 adults were killed in Parkland).  No need to be shocked about Parkland if you aren’t going to be shocked about Chicago.

My pseudo-dad (long explanation) said all along that the problem in America is we don’t realize that almost criminals have a mental problem.  We need to deal with them from that angle.  Not from the angle of incarceration.  He was right.  More and more people are realizing that.  However, we are a long way from being able to either randomly or even mandatorily (probably not a word) put people thru tests to determine if they have mental illness.  If we could do that, then we need the ability to send them somewhere for help.

Could you imagine the outcry if we even attempted to go down that road.  Until you are willing to allow our governments to go down that road, just sit back and accept the violence that is the norm in our country.

On to another subject…

If there are 71 genders (as England now lists), how can women complain that they are not paid equally with men?  Where is the study that shows the average pay for each of the 71 genders?   It is likely men (cis-male as the libtards call us) are paid less than many of the 70 other genders.

(Pound sign) #MeToo should state what it really is – #MeTooDidn’tReportACrime!  What happened to due process?  Some company (likely would have to be private like say Hobby Lobby) needs to stand up and say we are not firing someone who has been accused of sexual harassment 10 or 20 or 30 or even 40 years ago.  Unless you report it when it happens, it should be ignored.

The pitiful excuse that these women (and men) did not report the event when it happened because they were worried about ruining their career is pathetic crap!  When I became a real estate appraiser I was told that if you are working for someone who is unethical it is your responsibility to quit and find a job elsewhere.  In my first 5 years I was unemployed every year.  I even married my boss’ wife!  Guaranteed career killer in my industry.  Yet, I overcame that event to have a successful career.

I went on to work for two horrific financial institutions.  The last one I became a whistleblower and went to various Federal agencies.  As most of you know, I defeated the bastards and cost them over $91 million.  That money came back to us taxpayers.  Being fired by them was a certain career killer.  Being a whistle blower was even more of a career killer.  But, I did what was right at the right moment.  You won’t hear me 10 or 20 or 30 years from now going public with their wrongdoing.    They had their due process.  I risked my entire livelihood.  But, I could look myself in the mirror every day.  Don’t give me the excuse about being worried about your career.  As long as you stay silent, YOU enable the perpetrators.  Maybe they should change the movement name to #IEnabledThem.

The #MeToo movement is backfiring.  Women are realizing that men simply won’t hire women.  Why deal with the culture of assumed guilty when accused because something you say or do is misunderstood as sexual harassment?  It isn’t worth the risk.  I was reading that very few women were in the Super Bowl commercials (it is kind of weird to think I will never see another Super Bowl in my lifetime…..it is great to see the NFL getting killed for caving to the libtards).  Companies weren’t going to risk having a woman in a commercial and social media bashing them for being sexist for whatever reason.  Also, the Pence Rule is taking over and men will not go to lunch or dinner alone with a woman.  Women are going to be left out of more decisions and promotions and so on.  Fair is fair.  People accused of sexual harassment that might have occurred decades ago are not being given due process.  The people making those accusations need to pay for the damage they have caused.

One thing I have learned from the pound sign #MeToo movement is that I should go ahead and sexually harass some people because it will be 10 or 20 years before they tell anyone:)

The requisite comment needed at this time is that obviously I am 100% against anyone being subjected to sexual harassment.  Those that actually have been harassed deserve our support and their harasser deserves punishment.  But, we only arrive at punishment in this country thru due process.  Not thru the assumed guilt that is currently going on.

Has anyone noticed that Nancy Pelosi hasn’t come thru with a #MeToo post:) lol

Some random thoughts…

The people who claim President Trump has mental issues, also claim there are more than 2 genders.  Let that sink in!

Every time you see stories about millions of Americans receiving raises and bonuses due to the Trump tax cut remember this – Not a single Democrat voted for it!

Pelosi and other Dems calling the $1000 and $2000 bonuses given to employees ‘crumbs’ will come back to bite them like ‘deplorables’ did.  The Dems have become the party of the rich.  They are even trying to figure out ways to help the rich in the foreign country of California avoid paying more taxes that resulted from the new tax act!  Amazing how things change.  Dems the party for the rich and the GOP the party for the working class.

Here’s an idea – A reality show where socialist college students are sent to a country that closely resembles their desired political system and left to survive for a few months:)

I continue to encourage the younger generation to forego attending a Liberal Brainwashing Institution (fka colleges and universities).  Either go to a trade school or go straight to work with a company.  All you need to learn you will learn thru work.  You will avoid loan debt.  More importantly, you will avoid wasting time among the least inclusive people you will ever meet – i.e. democrats, libtards…

When will the world realize that ‘diversity’ is not achieved thru skin color or sex or sexual orientation.  Look at the Left.  They think they have diversity because they supposedly have groups of people made up of whites and blacks and hispanics and so on.  However, these groups have no diversity.  Neither are they inclusive.  They have a single ideal.  And they exclude anyone who does not agree with them.  The Left is the closest thing I have seen to the Nazis.  As I am Jewish, I do not use that comparison lightly.

I recently read about some Google app that had something to do with paintings.  People complained that 90% of the paintings with people in them had white people.  As if that is a bad thing.  Any moron should expect such when searching in Russia, Europe, and USA/Canada.  These same dumb asses would likely be surprised if 90% of the people in Asian paintings are Asian!  90% in Africa are black people.  90% in South America are hispanic or whatever the term should be.

Did you see that opponents of the Obama Presidential Museum in Chicago don’t want a parking garage built with it.  Why?  Because it would be for people with ‘car privilege.’  No joke!!!  Well, I am glad I have car privilege.  Even more happy to have luxury car privilege:)  Take that libtards!  I would ask if the Left ever stopped to think how stupid they sound.  But, the answer is obviously no.

Whatever ‘privilege’ you supposedly have, enjoy the hell out of it!  Use it to your advantage.  Have no regrets.  Mainly because there is no such thing!

On another topic – equality.  It has always amazed me that people think we are all created equal.  That we all should be equal.  Those are both dumb and impossible ideas.  Regardless of the item you want to pick, there will always be a number of people better than me and worse than me in regard to that item.  Very few will be equal to me.  I can live with the obvious fact that there are people better than me.  Whether it is intelligence….wealth…..happiness…..whatever.  In my lifetime, that helped me strive to improve myself in regard to intelligence, wealth, success, and so on.  If we are all born equal and must stay equal, why the heck exist!

So, the Alt-Left thought they would ‘prove’ that all races are of equal intelligence.  When the results proved otherwise, they are now up in arms and crying foul.   A high school student in the foreign country of California participated in a science fair and his project was titled ‘Race and IQ.’  My experience with science fairs is your topic has to be pre-approved by the powers-to-be before you can do it.  So, he/she does the experiment and comes up with the following conclusion:

“the lower average IQs of blacks, Southeast Asians, and nonwhite Hispanics means that they are not as likely as non-Hispanic whites and Northeast Asians to be accepted into a more academically rigorous program such as HISP,” the report said. “Therefore the racial disproportionality of HISP is justified.”

I guess libtards would be surprised by the results.  No surprise to me.  I have long known the Asians are smarter than whites and so on.  So what?  Again, in a measure of intelligence it is impossible for everyone to be equal.  This topic is an example of why the Alt-Left scares me so much.  Like the Nazis, they want to hide the truth…put out a fake front as to how things ‘really are’ and so on.  And trash anyone who tries to speak about the facts.  The facts almost never support the Alt-Left’s agenda, so they use their Fake News Media to promote propaganda.

As for the Olympics, I love curling (UPDATE – America Men’s team won Gold!  Wow!).  I look forward to that single event every 4 years.  In a different sport, I used to be a fan of Lindsey Vonn.  Then she had to go and bring politics into the Olympics and say she was going there for her country, but not to represent Trump.  So, karma bites her in the ass and she doesn’t medal in her first event (she may still medal as she is one heckuva skier).  Social media has fun at her expense and then her supporters blame the Trump supporters for bringing politics into the Olympics!  A typical Nazi trademark, the Alt-Left alters the truth.  If you can’t handle the payback, then next time don’t put your neck out there to be chopped off.

So, at the Oscars (lowest rating ever!  Is the Alt-Left realizing they are in the minority and their opposition is the majority that can make or break any event or organization….first, we gave the Grammy’s near record lows….now the Oscars….Super Bowl was way down) the rich, elitist, ‘entertainers’ that are anti-gun had armed security guards at their event!  Hypocrites is an understatement.  They don’t say they needed armed guards there because there are crazy people out there that might attack them at this event.  Of course, that is the real reason.  Which is the same reason us good guys are pro-guns.  You have to be armed to stop a bad guy.

More as I encounter the insanity of the Left…..

 

NICE SUMMARY OF THE FIRST YEAR OF TRUMP

January 21, 2018 – I couldn’t write something near as well as this lady did.  Nor nearly as calmly.  I have restrained from posting any more about the libtards and the Liberal Brainwashing Institutions (fka as colleges/universities).  There are enough people who tear them both up every day for their stupidity.  So, you don’t need to visit my web site and see more of the same.  I think the article below is a good, factual, fair review of the past year – and not from the viewpoint of one of us horrible white, male, heterosexual, Christian people:)  Hope you like it as much as I did.

My take on Trump’s first year as an African-American mom and veteran

MERRY CHRISTMAS, HAPPY HANUKKAH, AND HAPPY NEW YEAR

December 10, 2016 – It is a bit early, but I wanted to go ahead and wish everyone a Happy Holiday season.  I hope you have a great time with your family and friends.  Those are the most important people in your life.

As a general wrap up to the year, it sure was one for the ages.  My forecasts were on target the first 6 or so months of the year.  The last 6 months of stock market action was unexpected.  I admittedly didn’t try to figure out what would happen when Trump won.  It was very difficult to determine how the markets would react.  Would they be bullish.  Would they be bearish.  Or a combination of both – which is actually how it turned out.

As I mentioned Election Night, I turned very bullish.  The Dow is up about 2000 points since then.  Everyone, and I mean everyone, sees business and the economy booming under Trump.  Recent surveys of CEOs, the general public, and others show extreme jumps in optimism.  And the Dow itself is a measure of that optimism.

What I didn’t expect was the severe downturn in bonds and gold.  For most of the past 5-10 years assets of all kinds have traveled together up and down.  Suddenly after Election Day, certain assets are going in opposite directions.  If stocks are up, bonds and gold are down.  And vice versa.

The momentum of the past month has not ceased.  I am just going to let it play out thru the Holidays and get to my 2017 forecast in early January.

Until then, Happy Holidays and Happy New Year to all.  May 2017 be a healthy and prosperous year for everyone.

USA 2.0 – THE FALL OF THE ROMAN EMPIRE II PUT ON HOLD

November 10, 2016 – As I have said since 1990, the USA is The Fall of the Roman Empire II.  It has been neat to live thru it and observe the decline.  However, it is sad that our once great country is going thru this.

I am a born bear.  I thrive in times like the S&L Crisis and the Dot-Com Bubble bursting and The Great Depression II.  It is easy to be bullish.  But, it is tough to be a bear.  However, I have found it to be much more profitable to be a bear.  Declines are rapid and large.  Advances are slow, albeit they can be large, too.

However, I sit after being relatively quiet for 500+ days of being bashed by the leftist media – i.e. I said from day one that Trump would be President.  I wrote on my blog in the last week the count I projected for him.  I correctly explained there were millions of us who simply would not be polled.

Long ago I figured out it is easier not to debate your opinion.  Especially when you are in the majority.  I have sat quietly thru many elections and watched the heated minority put up signs, write to the local paper, advertise, and so on.  Us in the silent majority don’t waste any energy and we win.  It is so sweet to beat the angry minority.  Like those of The Stupid Generation who are currently protesting in the streets.  You lost, suck it up:)

I was a lifelong Democrat.  I have NEVER voted for a Republican.  But, Benghazi and then the outright lies Hillary made to Congress, the FBI, and the American nation made me leave the party and become a Republican.  She committed many felonies and still wanted to be our President.  I couldn’t support that.  I liked both her and Trump in the beginning.  Albeit, I always felt Trump would win in the end.  The populist movement is worldwide and cannot be stopped.

The more I saw the factual stats about our inner cities, the more I finally realized the Democrats had in fact placed the black population in economic slavery.  You cannot raise your self up if you are on welfare or unemployment or in jail.  You must have a job or run a business to move up in this country.  The Democrats have made multiple generations of blacks helpless and hopeless in the inner cities.  I could no longer support a party that was knowingly doing this and every 4 years came back expecting these people to vote for them again.

It is ironic to me how many people call Trump, and us supporters, a racist.  Yet, it is him, and us supporters, that so badly want to end the horrible cycle the inner cities are in and see blacks excel.  These same whites they call racists twice voted a black man into the White House!  For now, no one can become President without either white voters or male or female voters putting them in office.  The latter will never change as each sex will always make up 49%-51% of the population.  In 30+ years, it will take the white AND hispanic voters to make someone President.

But, back to the point of this post.  I think we have now entered what I will call USA 2.0.  This feels like Colonial America 1776.  I lived in Williamsburg, VA for 14 years so I understand a lot about the revolution against England.  It is looking like the American people this time have revolted against the Washington DC and Wall Street Elite.  The results of many poll questions suggest a new country is being created.  If this is so, then EVERYTHING I have based my forecasts on for the past 40 years is no longer relevant.

For the first time in my life, I am now Bullish.  I finally see hope for this country.  I have watched our government (and Federal Reserve) run us into the ground with an impossible debt to overcome (this one item may be so large that it will still take our great country down in the end).  I always wondered who would be the next John F. Kennedy to come along and mobilize the entire country as one.  Little did I know it wouldn’t be a politician.  But, I guess we all should have known that no politician could be so dynamic in these times.  It took an outsider to have the testicular fortitude to say what we all wanted to say.  He got the majority motivated once again and we now rule our country once again.

It looks like the existing system…whatever you want to call a ‘system’…is going to be eradicated.  A new system is going to be created.  A New World Order is under way.  This should be exciting.  I would rather go thru an improving USA 2.0 that has no diagram on how it will evolve than The Fall of the Roman Empire II that was going exactly as planned.

Some obvious things that need to be recognized are:

  1.  The MAJORITY Rules!  Minorities do not deserve special protection laws.  We are ALL equal to begin with.  All existing laws protecting anyone beyond that of others need to be revoked.  First, the majority gets protected.  Then others can have the same protection.  But, again, I argue we are all equal and no special laws are needed at all.
  2. Heterophobia, Godphobia, Malephobia, and Whitephobia must come to an end.  It is discrimination against those groups to provide special protection for other groups.
  3. This is a country built on religion.  There is no wording ‘separation of church and state’ in the Constitution.  The government cannot promote its own religion, but it can work with religions.  Religious beliefs must be protected.  They must be protected.  Minority beliefs do not deserve protection over religious beliefs.  Again, the MAJORITY RULES!  The minority has has too much say in this country.  Religious Liberty is something I will personally fight for.
  4. Yes, it is a free world.  If you don’t like our religious based, majority rule country, please please move.  And change your citizenship and never come back.  Take Kanye West with you.
  5. Inclusive means everyone ASSIMILATES into our country and its ways.  Our country does not have to compromise our religious beliefs because of your sexual orientation or anything else that is at issue with the dominant religions herein.   To be included you adopt America’s standards.  If you don’t like that and want to stay the way you are, don’t let the wall hit you in the ass on your way to another country.  Theodore Roosevelt best explained this almost 100 years ago.
  6. Political Correctness is dead.  We are allowed to insult others.  We can hate others.  We can like others.  We can offend others.  There are men and women and no other words should be used.  On and on.  There are no safe zones.  I plan on being as blunt as ever.  I hope everyone else will say what they feel and not worry about people being offended, not like your choice of words, etc.  Afterall, this is a free country right:)

Some of you may be offended by some of the above.  That is good.  It is good to offend and be offended.  I have always told people to please tell me I am a jerk (or more colorful words!), if you think that.  I don’t need sugar coating or lies.  I have been offended many times and expect to be many more.  I have lived and will live just fine thru them.  As one of my bosses and mentors once said, ‘George, you have thick hide.’

Please remember that almost all of the observations above are simply the facts from the American people expressing their views of what they want and believe in.    I didn’t make them up.  Yes, I agree with most, if not all, of them.  I fully understand and appreciate if you are unhappy with anything I have said.  It’s not a big deal.  Each of us will do what we need to do.

I myself have to figure out who the new me is if this is indeed USA 2.0.   I have made a living off of being bearish and going against the masses.  I think the latter will remain the same.  But, geez being optimistic and bullish is new to me.

However this evolves, the best part is after 500+ days of taking all of the insults and punches from the Killary supporters, I now get to spend 1500+ days to return the favor.  Pour salt in the open wounds.  Send emails every now and then that say ‘This just in….Hillary is still a loser!’ :)  My entire life I sat by and lived with being discriminated against as a white male that believed in God.  Now, I get 4+ years to work on fixing all of the wrongs done to me and similar people in the past 40+ years.  I fully understand what it is like to be discriminated against.  Don’t cry to me about others who think they have been discriminated against.  Just suck it up and fight the battles as you can.  That is what I have done and will continue to do.

Long Live USA 2.0

 

MY ELECTORAL GUESTIMATE

November 2, 2016 – Less than a week to Election Day and all of us will be glad when it is over:)  In 2012, I was able to correctly predict all 50 states and thus the exact electoral count for each candidate.  There will be no such luck this time around.  This is definitely an unique election.

I will update my count each day until election.  Right now it stands at:

11/2 – TRUMP – 275 ; CLINTON – 263  This depends solely on Colorado (9 votes) going to Trump.  At this time, Clinton is favored.  But, I think the ‘shy’ Trump supporters are enough to overcome the deficit.  If not, Clinton wins.  But, we have 6 days to go so we should know more before Election Day.  The interesting event that could happen is Trump wins Colorado, but loses Utah to the Mormon candidate.  Then no one gets 270 electoral votes!  I believe the House of Representatives then elects the President, which should be Trump as the HoR is Republican controlled.  More tomorrow…

11/3 – TRUMP – 279; CLINTON – 259  I have moved New Hampshire’s 4 votes to Trump.  Colorado is moving in the direction I expected, albeit Clinton still has a lead.  I heard one other person on TV last night also indicate that the election might come down to which way Colorado goes.  Albeit, based on my current numbers, Colorado can go to Clinton and Trump would still win 270-268.  Essentially this all comes down to how many Trump voters did not participate in the polls.  Like Brexit and the Colombia peace vote, the expectation is a significant number of Trump voters have not been counter.  We shall see…

11/4 – TRUMP – 279; CLINTON – 259  No change in the count today.  Albeit, New Hampshire and Arizona continue trending for Trump.  The fly in the ointment for Trump is now Florida which has trended back towards Clinton, although still in tossup land and in the area where I think the uncounted Trump voters can make up the difference.  Maine, Michigan, and Pennsylvania continue to trend away from Clinton.  But, she still holds enough of a lead to win all three.   The weekend should provide more information.

11/5 – TRUMP – 279; CLINTON – 259  No significant changes today.  Monday should give us all of the new significant data we need.  It is amazing that Pennsylvania is closer now than Colorado.  Albeit about the same.  Michigan and New Mexico continue to trend strongly towards Trump, but it might be too late for them to go red.  I assume not much new data will be out on Sunday, but will will see.

11/6 – TRUMP – 279; CLINTON – 259  Not much new data out, so no changes.  The only news was Comey’s 2nd letter to Congress.  This one likely won’t affect the results at this late hour.  Hopefully, tomorrow there will be a ton of new data that will basically give us a final opinion going into Election Day.

11/7 –  Finally, finally, the nightmare is almost over.  Albeit, knowing our luck, the results could carry into Wednesday….or longer.  Let’s hope not.  If this were a normal election, the data suggests the following final count:  CLINTON – 272; TRUMP – 266.  However, as there is a belief that a large number of Trump supporters have not been included in the polls.  Under this assumption, the final prediction is TRUMP – 279; CLINTON – 259.  The large amount of new data out today did not change anything.  The maximum I can see for Clinton is 316.  The 4 final tossups as I see it are Florida, North Carolina, Nevada, and New Hampshire.    CD2 of Maine is also a tossup.  Trump must win all of these.  If any of these states in the East go to Clinton early, the election is over and we can all go to bed.  I think the odds of someone correctly predicting all 50 states this time around is about equal to getting all of the games right in the March Madness Tournament:)  Just remember, on November the 9th the Sun will rise once again….and onward we all will go.

11/9 – WOW!  We finally destroyed the establishment!  It is so great to see all of the media ask ‘How did we get it so wrong?’  Because you are part of the corrupt establishment!  And ignorant of how mad those of us who have been discriminated against for decades have become.  Being a white male and religious I can tell you what discrimination is!  Now it is our time….finally.  I didn’t think we had a chance to ever save this country from its horrible decline.  But, now we do.  One last hope.  I finally see a chance to save our country.    Now to get to work and do it.  Yes, I will be the sorest winner you have ever seen:)  It is time to end Political Correctness!  Let the fun begin….

A lesson in math for the world of those in to political correctness.  All we heard was how the Hispanic vote was up 100% in this state and that state.  Record numbers of voters.  Blah blah blah.  Well, the percentage of white voters was also up.  But, % is not important.  Whole numbers are.  e.g. in Florida, the early vote showed 400,000 more Hispanic voters.  But, there was over 1,000,000 more white voters.  I would rather make 1% interest on a billion dollars than 10% interest on $10,000!  Don’t ever forget the largest groups in anything you do.  Baby Boomers still rule this world and will until The Stupid Generation is into their middle ages.  The ignorance of the masses never ceases to amaze me.  But, thankfully it is so predictable as to make money off of their opinions is relatively easy.

Lastly, I may go crazy if I hear one more media person ask how this happened and say no one predicted this.  I did!  I did for 500+ days!  I did this past week.  You just have to know how to forecast.  The media and popular polls just don’t get it.  But, that is a good thing.

Remember, Deplorable Lives Matter!